Oct 2022

Fortem Capital Progressive Growth Fund

UK & EU – For professional and institutional investors only
Switzerland – this is an advertising document for professional and institutional clients as defined by the Swiss Financial Services Act only

Monthly Commentary – 28th October 2022

News flow continues to be dominated by inflation, its knock-on effect on the future direction of monetary policy, and escalating geopolitical tensions, much as it has been over the course of the year thus far.

Inflation prints continue to be troublesome, particularly accelerating core inflation in the US, where shelter and services more than offset falling energy and finished good prices.

Central banks continued on their hawkish trajectory for the most part; the ECB raised by another 0.75%, whilst at the time of writing the Federal Reserve have also raised by another 0.75% as well as indicating a higher terminal rate, and rates staying there for longer than previously anticipated.

In spite of this, equity markets on the whole posted healthy returns after September’s volatility. The exception was China, where hopes that the Party Conference would possibly signal an end to the country’s insane zero-covid policy were premature as Xi Jinping instead used the occasion to consolidate power, notably with the Game of Thrones-style removal of former President Hu Jintao from the chamber.

The Fund increased by 3.8% over the month.

There was one investment that matured during the month, four years since its inception. The investment was replaced at terms that show just how attractively the market is pricing currently, with a coupon of 10.5% and protection that would allow the indices to fall 40% over 6 years from already depressed levels before any capital erosion.

The opportunity was also taken at the start of the month to restructure one of the two Hang Seng positions, before the party conference. The position was switched into an investment on the US 2000 and Swiss Market 30 indices with an annual payoff of 11.3%, which improved the Fund’s GRY in all scenarios as well as adding extra protection given the new investment was also struck with a 40% buffer.

Persistent inflation, central banks steadfast in their hawkishness to bring it under control as well as continued geopolitical tension and the de-globalisation it brings mean that investors must take seriously the prospect that equity returns may be anaemic over the medium term. The Fund remains poised to deliver significant returns if markets do turn out to be anaemic, just as it does if there are further falls or indeed a recovery from here.

Total Return 2022 October
UK 100 -1.5% 2.3%
US 500 -17.4% 8.9%
Europe 50 -14.0% 8.9%
Japan 225 -4.3% 4.5%
Hong Kong 50 -34.5% -13.7%
US 2000 -16.9% 11.0%
Swiss 30 -13.9% 4.9%
BCOM 12.7% 0.2%
US Treasury -15.4% -0.9%
Euro Property -37.6% 3.0%
PGF -9.6% 3.8%
AGF 0.8% -0.9%
Real Estate -34.5% 4.4%
US Equity Income -17.4% 8.9%


Disclaimer

– This document has been issued and approved as a financial promotion by Fortem Capital Limited for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Acts 2000. Fortem Capital Limited registration number 10042702 is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under firm reference number 755370.
– This document is intended for Professional Investors, Institutional Clients and Advisors and should not be communicated to any other person.
– The information has been prepared solely for information purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the product.
– Data is sourced from Fortem Capital Limited and external sources. The data is as at the date of this document and has been reviewed by Fortem Capital Limited.
– Information, including prices, analytical data and opinions contained within this document are believed to be correct, accurate and derived from reliable sources as at the date of the document. However, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made as to the correctness, accuracy or validity of such information.
– Fortem Capital Limited assumes

no responsibility or
liability for any errors, omissions or inaccuracy with respect to the information contained within this document.
– All price and analytical data included in this document is
intended for indicative purposes only and is as at the date
of the document.
– The information within this document does not take into account the specific investment objective or financial situation of any person. Investors should refer to the final documentation and any prospectus to ascertain all of the risks and terms associated with these securities and seek independent advice, where necessary, before making any decision to buy or sell.
– The product may not be offered, sold, transferred or delivered directly or indirectly in the United States to, or for the account or benefit of, any U.S. Person.
– The Fortem Capital Alternative Growth Fund is a Sub-Fund of Skyline, an open-ended investment company with variable capital incorporated on 1 June 2010 with limited liability under the laws of Ireland with segregated liability between Funds. The Company is authorised in Ireland by the Central Bank of Ireland pursuant to the UCITS Regulations.

“NOTICE TO INVESTORS DOMICILED OR RESIDENT IN SWITZERLAND – The interests in the UCITS Fund and any related services, information and opinions described or referenced in this document are not, and may not be, offered or marketed to or directed at persons in Switzerland (a) that do not meet the definition of “qualified investor" pursuant to the Swiss Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes of 23 June 2006 (“CISA") (“Non-Qualified Investors"), or (b) that are high net worth individuals (including private investment structures established for such high-net worth individuals if they do not have professional treasury operations) that have opted out of customer protection under the Swiss Federal Financial Services Act of 15 June 2018 (“FinSA") and that have elected to be treated as “professional clients" and “qualified investors" under the FinSA and the CISA, respectively (“Elective Qualified Investors").
In particular, none of the information provided in this document should be construed as an offer in Switzerland

for the purchase or sale of the interests or any related services, nor as advertising in Switzerland for the interests or any related services, to or directed at Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors. Circulating or otherwise providing access to this document or offering, advertising or selling the interests or any related services to Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors may trigger, in particular, approval requirements and other regulatory requirements in Switzerland.
This document does not constitute a prospectus pursuant to Articles 35 et seqq. FinSA and may not fulfil the information standards established thereunder. No key information document pursuant to Swiss law has been established for the interests. The interests will not be listed or admitted to trading on a Swiss trading venue and, consequently, the information presented in this document may not fulfil the information standards set out in the relevant trading venue rules."

Sep 2022

Fortem Capital Progressive Growth Fund

UK & EU – For professional and institutional investors only
Switzerland – this is an advertising document for professional and institutional clients as defined by the Swiss Financial Services Act only

Monthly Commentary – 30th September 2022

Bonds and equities continued to sell off sharply together in September as investors digested central banks’ commitment to bringing down inflation, even at the expense of growth.

September’s continued declines leave global equities down 25% for the year, whilst even the mighty US Treasury market has given up over 14%.

The Fund fell by 6.2% over the month.

There were five investments within the Fund that observed in September, four of which were at the end of their first year and therefore missed the barrier given the heavy declines seen over the past year. However, one investment did call, after its third year, showing the effectiveness of having barriers that reduce through time, giving investments the opportunity to produce positive returns even when the underlying equities they are linked to do not.

Given just how far equity markets have now fallen, for the first time investors can see that one would expect a negative return if the underlying equity indices were to fall another 20% and not recover, albeit the Fund would still strongly outperform those underlying equity indices.

In spite of this, there still remains a sizeable amount of protection in the portfolio, as well as the protection that time affords it; the average life to maturity is currently just over 4 years.

Persistent and high inflation, the hawkish commitment from central banks to bring it down, rising geo-political tensions and the de-globalisation of the global economy mean that the risk that equity markets may produce at best anaemic returns for the foreseeable future is one investors must take seriously. Having a Fund that produces double digit returns if equity markets make no recovery from here, and still maintains some protection even in the event of further falls, simply must be considered given the backdrop.

Total Return 2022 September
UK 100 -3.7% -5.2%
US 500 -24.1% -9.3%
Europe 50 -21.0% -5.6%
Japan 225 -8.5% -7.1%
Hong Kong 50 -24.1% -13.2%
US 2000 -25.1% -9.6%
Swiss 30 -18.0% -5.3%
BCOM 12.4% -8.4%
US Treasury -14.6% -4.3%
Euro Property -39.5% -16.6%
PGF -12.9% -6.2%
AGF 1.7% 1.5%
Real Estate -37.3% -17.3%
US Equity Income -24.1% -9.3%


Disclaimer

– This document has been issued and approved as a financial promotion by Fortem Capital Limited for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Acts 2000. Fortem Capital Limited registration number 10042702 is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under firm reference number 755370.
– This document is intended for Professional Investors, Institutional Clients and Advisors and should not be communicated to any other person.
– The information has been prepared solely for information purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the product.
– Data is sourced from Fortem Capital Limited and external sources. The data is as at the date of this document and has been reviewed by Fortem Capital Limited.
– Information, including prices, analytical data and opinions contained within this document are believed to be correct, accurate and derived from reliable sources as at the date of the document. However, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made as to the correctness, accuracy or validity of such information.
– Fortem Capital Limited assumes

no responsibility or
liability for any errors, omissions or inaccuracy with respect to the information contained within this document.
– All price and analytical data included in this document is
intended for indicative purposes only and is as at the date
of the document.
– The information within this document does not take into account the specific investment objective or financial situation of any person. Investors should refer to the final documentation and any prospectus to ascertain all of the risks and terms associated with these securities and seek independent advice, where necessary, before making any decision to buy or sell.
– The product may not be offered, sold, transferred or delivered directly or indirectly in the United States to, or for the account or benefit of, any U.S. Person.
– The Fortem Capital Alternative Growth Fund is a Sub-Fund of Skyline, an open-ended investment company with variable capital incorporated on 1 June 2010 with limited liability under the laws of Ireland with segregated liability between Funds. The Company is authorised in Ireland by the Central Bank of Ireland pursuant to the UCITS Regulations.

“NOTICE TO INVESTORS DOMICILED OR RESIDENT IN SWITZERLAND – The interests in the UCITS Fund and any related services, information and opinions described or referenced in this document are not, and may not be, offered or marketed to or directed at persons in Switzerland (a) that do not meet the definition of “qualified investor" pursuant to the Swiss Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes of 23 June 2006 (“CISA") (“Non-Qualified Investors"), or (b) that are high net worth individuals (including private investment structures established for such high-net worth individuals if they do not have professional treasury operations) that have opted out of customer protection under the Swiss Federal Financial Services Act of 15 June 2018 (“FinSA") and that have elected to be treated as “professional clients" and “qualified investors" under the FinSA and the CISA, respectively (“Elective Qualified Investors").
In particular, none of the information provided in this document should be construed as an offer in Switzerland

for the purchase or sale of the interests or any related services, nor as advertising in Switzerland for the interests or any related services, to or directed at Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors. Circulating or otherwise providing access to this document or offering, advertising or selling the interests or any related services to Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors may trigger, in particular, approval requirements and other regulatory requirements in Switzerland.
This document does not constitute a prospectus pursuant to Articles 35 et seqq. FinSA and may not fulfil the information standards established thereunder. No key information document pursuant to Swiss law has been established for the interests. The interests will not be listed or admitted to trading on a Swiss trading venue and, consequently, the information presented in this document may not fulfil the information standards set out in the relevant trading venue rules."

Aug 2022

Fortem Capital Progressive Growth Fund

UK & EU – For professional and institutional investors only
Switzerland – this is an advertising document for professional and institutional clients as defined by the Swiss Financial Services Act only

Monthly Commentary – 31st August 2022

August saw investors left under no uncertainty about the commitment of central banks to bring inflation under control in spite of data continuing to signal a slowdown of growth in the global economy. Both bond and equity markets reacted negatively over the month as investors brace for tighter conditions for longer.

Most major equity indices suffered falls over the month with the exception of Japan, where policy continues to be loose and the benefits felt of a weakening currency.

The Fund posted a return of -2.3% for the month.

There were again no maturities during the month, with three observation barriers being missed; those three investments simply roll onto next year, during which they will have another, lower observation barrier. The defined annual returns from this year also roll onto next year, hence the Fund is building in significant levels of value that is essentially locked in and paid so long as the investments’ final barrier, set in the 60s at outset, is not breached.

The return available to investors in a scenario in which the equity indices do not rise is now greater than an annualised 10%. Given that central banks are now telling investors that they expect rates to rise higher and stay higher for longer, the return built into the Fund looks more and more attractive.

Equities have enjoyed a prolonged period of favourable conditions until this year, and it has undoubtedly caused a shift in where expectations of future returns are anchored. Given the prospect that conditions may be tighter for longer, valuations’ heady starting point, and the continued call for the redistribution of some of the spoils of the era of stimulus, equities could be set for an extended period of lower annualised returns than investors have become used to. It is for this reason that the case for defined returns in portfolios has never really been stronger.

Total Return 2022 August
UK 100 1.6% -1.1%
US 500 -16.4% -4.1%
Europe 50 -16.3% -5.1%
Japan 225 -1.5% 1.1%
Hong Kong 50 -12.6% -0.8%
US 2000 -17.2% -2.1%
Swiss 30 -13.4% -2.6%
BCOM 22.7% -0.2%
US Treasury -10.8% -2.8%
Euro Property -27.4% -10.8%
PGF -7.2% -2.3%
AGF 0.2% 0.7%
Real Estate -24.2% -9.4%
US Equity Income -18.8% -4.1%


Disclaimer

– This document has been issued and approved as a financial promotion by Fortem Capital Limited for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Acts 2000. Fortem Capital Limited registration number 10042702 is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under firm reference number 755370.
– This document is intended for Professional Investors, Institutional Clients and Advisors and should not be communicated to any other person.
– The information has been prepared solely for information purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the product.
– Data is sourced from Fortem Capital Limited and external sources. The data is as at the date of this document and has been reviewed by Fortem Capital Limited.
– Information, including prices, analytical data and opinions contained within this document are believed to be correct, accurate and derived from reliable sources as at the date of the document. However, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made as to the correctness, accuracy or validity of such information.
– Fortem Capital Limited assumes

no responsibility or
liability for any errors, omissions or inaccuracy with respect to the information contained within this document.
– All price and analytical data included in this document is
intended for indicative purposes only and is as at the date
of the document.
– The information within this document does not take into account the specific investment objective or financial situation of any person. Investors should refer to the final documentation and any prospectus to ascertain all of the risks and terms associated with these securities and seek independent advice, where necessary, before making any decision to buy or sell.
– The product may not be offered, sold, transferred or delivered directly or indirectly in the United States to, or for the account or benefit of, any U.S. Person.
– The Fortem Capital Alternative Growth Fund is a Sub-Fund of Skyline, an open-ended investment company with variable capital incorporated on 1 June 2010 with limited liability under the laws of Ireland with segregated liability between Funds. The Company is authorised in Ireland by the Central Bank of Ireland pursuant to the UCITS Regulations.

“NOTICE TO INVESTORS DOMICILED OR RESIDENT IN SWITZERLAND – The interests in the UCITS Fund and any related services, information and opinions described or referenced in this document are not, and may not be, offered or marketed to or directed at persons in Switzerland (a) that do not meet the definition of “qualified investor" pursuant to the Swiss Federal Act on Collective Investment Schemes of 23 June 2006 (“CISA") (“Non-Qualified Investors"), or (b) that are high net worth individuals (including private investment structures established for such high-net worth individuals if they do not have professional treasury operations) that have opted out of customer protection under the Swiss Federal Financial Services Act of 15 June 2018 (“FinSA") and that have elected to be treated as “professional clients" and “qualified investors" under the FinSA and the CISA, respectively (“Elective Qualified Investors").
In particular, none of the information provided in this document should be construed as an offer in Switzerland

for the purchase or sale of the interests or any related services, nor as advertising in Switzerland for the interests or any related services, to or directed at Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors. Circulating or otherwise providing access to this document or offering, advertising or selling the interests or any related services to Non-Qualified Investors or Elective Qualified Investors may trigger, in particular, approval requirements and other regulatory requirements in Switzerland.
This document does not constitute a prospectus pursuant to Articles 35 et seqq. FinSA and may not fulfil the information standards established thereunder. No key information document pursuant to Swiss law has been established for the interests. The interests will not be listed or admitted to trading on a Swiss trading venue and, consequently, the information presented in this document may not fulfil the information standards set out in the relevant trading venue rules."